This is not Fay and it is not in my thoughts how Fay started or WHERE she started. It is far to the south and will get further west unless that model that pulls her due north gets it's way.

As for Fay... cannot believe this storm refuses to just rain itself out and yeah looks like she is drifting south towards open water but looks can be deceiving.

What does worry me is that water temps are hot wnw of her and that is where NRL has her progged to go for now. Without accurate recon we cannot get accurate models.

Shear has lessened and I also believe the ULL off the E Coast is going to retreat and has started to do so.

So...what is the big steering impetus here.. it also doesn't have an ULL attached like Fay did that made it easy to see where it would go.

Models are inconsistent for a reason.

If this storm is as round and together with high tops still blowing it can develop a lot faster than Fay or Dolly, so please keep that in mind.

This is the G storm.. not a remake or a sequel and probably going to get a lot stronger.

Intensity worries me on this one not just track.