Excellent read of the forecast for different cities. The one constant is that the effects from Gustav will depend upon weak steering currents. And, often storms down there encounter weak currents this time of year that would not be there in another month.

Gustav is classic. Looks exactly like Ernesto in ways when he was there.

But, it's a different year. I don't believe the models called for a stall, a slow down in forward motion but not a stall.

So, we have to wait and see what happens as it will throw off timing on models and future tracks.

Maybe not a lot but you can't have one part of the forecast be so off without a change in something down the road.

The ULL to his north east really pushed down on him a lot last night causing him to slow down and also creating some shear I think. Not the ideal set up. Either way... interested to see what we see later today.

He still is spinning pretty well and has a nice strong band to his SW that is continuing to bring up moisture from the warm Carib.