metwannabe
(Weather Hobbyist)
Thu Aug 28 2008 11:13 PM
Re: parade time

Obviously the NHC feels that Gustav certainly could become a very dangerous hurricane...

HOWEVER...IT WOULD BE NO SURPRISE IF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OCCURRED AND GUSTAV BECAME A CATEGORY 4 OR 5
HURRICANE BY 72 HR.

If he reaches 4 or 5 actually sooner may be better (for CONUS anyway) because climatology tells us it is very difficult for enviromental conditions to persist that would sustain a cat 4 or 5 for several days out...

time will tell


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