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Just keep this in mind (and we are already seeing it a LOT this seaso)....the models do NOT do even a fair job on weak TS. Fay was a mess and Hanna is following suit, whereas Gustav as a stronger storm over the past 4 days has not REALLY given the models much problem. Yes, the cone is wide at the end of Gustav's travels, but part of that may be attributed to it being weaker at that point after making landfall. Models have really been unusually consistent on Gustav. Until Hanna gets stronger, I am really not paying attention to the models on her at all as they are just slightly more than worthless..... |