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One consequence of Gustav maintaining a slightly further east track than expected is that it will only be skirting the warm loop current (see map link below) of the Gulf, rather than moving directly over it if it was just a little further west. It will be moving over part of that loop current in the short term, but it has less than 12 hours before it will find itself over a cooler eddy again. Heat content map for the Gulf: http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2008242go.jpg |