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http://www.srh.weather.gov/lix/html/tropical.htm ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... A POTENTIAL STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 16 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF LOCATION OF LANDFALL. LIFE THREATENING FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. SECTIONS OF WEST JEFFERSON...AND LOWER LAFOURCHE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES COULD BE OVER TOPPED. AREAS OUTSIDE OF HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES...WILL BE SEVERELY INUNDATED. http://www.srh.weather.gov/lix/ Latest Hurricane Local Statement for SE LA and S MS ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA ON MONDAY MORNING. STARTING MONDAY MORNING...THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD REACH 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG SOUTHERN MOBILE COUNTY FROM CEDAR POINT WESTWARD ACROSS PORTERSVILLE BAY...CODEN AND BAYOU LA BATRE. ALONG THE WESTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY...TOTAL STORM TIDE FROM THE FOWL RIVER AREA NORTH ACROSS THE THEODORE INDUSTRIAL CANAL...DOG RIVER...TO THE ALABAMA STATE DOCKS AND PORT OF MOBILE COULD REACH 4 TO 6 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING. ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF MOBILE BAY AND SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY...TOTAL STORM TIDE IS ALSO EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 4 TO 6 FEET. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT. EXTREMELY DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA BEACHES THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY DUE TO HIGH WINDS AND EXTREMELY LARGE BREAKING WAVES. RIP CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING TO ANYONE ENTERING THE SURF...DO NOT ENTER THE WATER UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix/cgi-bin/getprodversion.php?pil=HLS&sid=MOB&version=0&max=50 BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST TRACK AND SPEED...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST ON MONDAY MORNING. THE MAXIMUM TOTAL STORM TIDE COULD REACH 2 TO 4 FEET IN SOME AREAS...MAINLY OVER FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING PENSACOLA. WE ARE ENTERING INTO A NEAP TIDE CYCLE AS GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL...SO THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE IN THE OVERALL STORM TIDE HEIGHT. |