vineyardsaker
(Weather Guru)
Tue Sep 02 2008 03:40 AM
Please help me make sense of Hanna

I don't get it with Hanna. Some models (NOGAPS/LBAR) now have Hanna making landfall around Daytona Beach as a Cat2 while other have her go much further north. How much of a threat is she to Volusia County right now?

I know that during hurricane season one should be prepared and my family and I have prepared everything possible. But we still need to plan our week and, depending on the storm surge risk, we might have to evacuate (with three kids and two dogs ).

The 11PM probability cone now goes from Miami to Cape Cod! And since intensity predictions are even less accurate I am really getting concerned with the possibility that we might be told with very little warning time "oh, by the way, there is a Cat3+ which will make landfall over your house tomorrow".

So I really would appreciate some informed guesstimates about what Hanna is likely to do or not do.

Thanks,

VS



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