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Hanna is just a very hard storm to forecast and as soon as we see really where and how fast Gustav moves inland and his effect on Hanna wanes we can't really see what will happen no matter what the models try to indicate. It's still a crap shoot in ways and you go with the best models that brought you so far. Ike however is a real problem as by the time he gets past shear he is stuck in a groove West towards Florida and Cuba under a very strong high. So... I think until things clear up over the next 24 hours or 36 too much reliance on models with Hanna should be avoided. Except that the whole of the Eastern Coastline is in her 5 day... They must be living on Tagamet at the NHC this week.. |