Raymond
(Weather Guru)
Wed Sep 03 2008 03:05 AM
Re: Hanna, Ike, Josephine - oh my

I have another version:
Recon is in Hanna again and found a center near 20 N, 72.5 W with a pressure of 994 hPA. There is absolutely no stronger convection around it, as seen on microwave pics and there is nearly no rain around it a measured by recon. There are only small areas of winds with just tropical storm force around it and the flow pattern is a bit strange.
So I would say, this center will die down regardless where it moves in the next hours. Shear is also still quite stronge. The only weak chance for Hanna to survive I would see in a center reformation in the strongest convection much to the east. I hope recon goes into this area and looks, if there is something happening or not.