Hanna is looking more like a tropical cyclone again, as it seems to be redevloping an inner core and some banding features. Max winds have come up a little bit today, but the pressure has been slowly rising this afternoon, so it is not immediately clear if it will become a minimal hurricane. Recon data suggests that there is still something of a disconnect between the surface center and the flight-level center, so there is further organization that needs to occur before there would be any substantial intensification. Time is running out for that to happen.

Recon data thus far seems to indicate that Ike's winds are in the 95-100 kt range, right at the cat 2/3 breakpoint. It looks like it is in the midst of an eyewall replacement cycle, so some further weakening is possible. Ike is currently in a sheared environment and will also be passing over relatively cool waters in the next 36-48 hours, so it is not clear how strong it will be as it approaches the Bahamas. Ike's ultimate path is still rather uncertain, but it does seem increasingly likely that it will get far enough west to impact parts of the U.S. and/or Cuba.