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Some additions for Ike: I agree, the highest surface winds should be around 100 kt. In the second vortex message they speak again of an eyewall only open NW. So there seems to be some improvement, because, on the first message they didn´t speak of an eyewall existing ( that means there is less then 50 percent of an eyewall around the center). And it´s no eyewall replacement cycle, because there is simply nothing to replace the eyewall with no bands in the NW half of the huricane. The shear simply bites into the eye from the nothwest and makes it more or less open there. So Ike fights really hard to hold his structure together. Track: Now all models have shifted westward and forecast landfalls in different spots of the gulf side of Florida. |