Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sat Sep 06 2008 12:45 PM
Re: New Orleans again?!

Quote:

GFS has moved back west with IKE into the central GOM. This shows ya why each run is different,especially after 72hrs.



Very true. When there is little or no run-to-run consistency, it's extremely difficult to put much faith in the models. The "consensus" has not appeared to move a whole lot over time, based upon the NHC's forecast only being adjusted very slightly, but individual models are waffling just like they did with Gustav. It's going to be a long, frustrating week.


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 1920x1080+ resolution.
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center.