| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Sat Sep 06 2008 12:45 PM |
Re: New Orleans again?!
|
Quote:
GFS has moved back west with IKE into the central GOM. This shows ya why each run is different,especially after 72hrs.
Very true. When there is little or no run-to-run consistency, it's extremely difficult to put much faith in the models. The "consensus" has not appeared to move a whole lot over time, based upon the NHC's forecast only being adjusted very slightly, but individual models are waffling just like they did with Gustav. It's going to be a long, frustrating week.