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I have not seen the southward component in the motion now for several hours. I think the flow is much more zonal now than this morning and the strengthening is a sign the northerly shear and steering is lessened. However, that being said I don't see anything that will turn it although the motion off the western tip of Cuba seems to be S-N. Locakl met is saying right now that the high to the north of Fla will keep Ike to the west and then it will go north off the western tip of Cuba into a weakness and then back to the west as the high reestablishes itself...go figure. |