yes the 2 am came out...

the nhc likes to try and verify an older forecast, it is the way it works...

and they don't like to jump on temporary jogs...they are very cautious which is good

but there is very little southern component

the plane should be there by now.. and advisories are not written in real time... they are written before, set up, released..its a process

will see what the 5 am brings.. going to bed, enjoy reading your discussion, everyone's thoughts at this late hour but rarely do you see a storm here

wondering here if...

he is slowing down, any slow down in forward movement might be more impt than a few bobbles s or n as it may mean there is a weakness in the high... if he keeps barreling west than not..

and wondering if he is really a bit stronger waiting for recon.. id think he's more like 140 but whats 5 mph..

what an eye... easy enough to follow
amazing storm

nite, thanks