Hugh
(Senior Storm Chaser)
Sun Sep 07 2008 02:53 PM
Re: Ike Approaching Great Inauga, Hanna Extratropical

Let's see what is left of Ike after it goes past Cuba. Until that happens, anything beyond the interaction with Cuba is a guess at best. Models were forecast significant strengthening with Gustav after it went past Cuba, and the intensification never happened. The 5-day track still has a huge margin of error. If you're in the cone, you need to watch Ike. Even if you're no longer in the cone, I'd still recommend watching it, because each time the models change back and forth, the cone changes too. Yesterday, all of Florida was in the cone. Today, hardly any of the state is in the cone. Tomorrow, it could change again. We won't know until we get closer to the storm approaching, at least until it gets into the Gulf clear of Cuba.


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