Raymond
(Weather Guru)
Wed Sep 10 2008 03:43 AM
Re: NHC 11PM is very conservative on Ike's future intensity

Yes, that´s frightening.
I don´t think of a ERC but of violent restructurings around the center. The convection is bursting heavely and the center is quite asymetrical. Ithink, this violent processes around the center will go on for a while, until a strong, more symetrical center is formed. But all signs are for intensification now, may be also periods of rapid intensification.
There had been already a period of those violent processes around the center of Ike after the strong shear relaxed and the asymtrical center had become more symetrical ( somewhere before reaching the Bahamas).