danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Wed Sep 10 2008 07:30 AM
6am EDT Vortex

URNT12 KNHC 101016
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092008
A. 10/09:59:00Z
B. 23 deg 46 min N
085 deg 02 min W
C. 700 mb 2768 m
D. 62 kt
E. 197 deg 4 nm
F. 284 deg 055 kt
G. 200 deg 005 nm
H. EXTRAP 963 mb
I. 10 C/ 3045 m
J. 15 C/ 3047 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. OPEN NW
M. C10
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 4 nm
P. AF304 1709A IKE OB 20
MAX FL WIND AND MAX FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OUTBOUND 83 KT NE QUAD 10:02:00 Z MAX SFC WIND OUTBOUND 74KTS NE QUAD 10:01:40Z.
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
STRONG CONVECTION NE QUAD, OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING

edit-Lightning is normally found in tropical cyclones that are increasing in intensity~danielw

Using a modified SSHS a 963mb pressure should be nearly equal to a 112 mph surface wind, using the pressure-wind relationship.
So there is a strong disparity between what Ike's present winds are and what they could be.

Easy formula for the surface wind/ pressure relationship is 1000mb - current pressure = N.
N+75 equals the maximum possible surface wind speed in mph. This formula is not set in stone as Katrina, Rita and Wilma all exceeded the pressure/ wind relationship by quite a bit.



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