metwannabe
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun Sep 21 2008 09:14 PM
Re: San Juan Area Forecast Discussion afternoon version

Low shear, great outflow and big blow up of convection. Looking at PR radar loop very difficult to see any LLC at this time. As soon as a LLC closes off this certainly has the potential to develop quickly. Model outputs are interesting to look at but not really any help until they have more info and a definate center to work with. And where that center developes, south of PR, east or north will have huge implications on eventual track, not to mention how slowly that occurs. Is it just me or does it seem there have been numerous systems this year that had good mid level circulation but took some time for the LLC to develop and get under that mid level?


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