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Part of 10 am Ral NWC discussion... ...LIGHTNING ACTIVITY HAS GRAVITATED MORE TO THE CENTRAL CORE OF THE DEVELOPING SYSTEM AND THOUGH THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME WARM CORE AND DEVELOP INTO A SUBTROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. If this happens this could change the forecast drastically. NHC has just issued STDS and I think that 'Kyle" has already formed, off of NC coast, not in the Carib., either sub-tropical or tropical. In fact IMHO I think NHC will start issuing advisories before recon can get there. |