| Bloodstar |
| (Moderator) |
| Wed Sep 24 2008 07:03 PM |
|
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas
|
Quote:
NHC stated the following...
THE LOW IS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR AN AREA OF WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE WELL TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER.
So why not start advisories? It would appear this meets sub-tropical requirements at least and IMHO people take these situations more serious when actual watches and warnings are posted, they do not tend to see the whole picture and seriousness of it when no warnings are issued.
There are gale/storm warnings up for the coastal regions. But since the storm isn't considered a warm core storm by the NHC and doesn't have tropical characteristics, then it isn't a tropical storm or hurricane. (though this appears to be changing, see below)
It looks like 93L has begun to fire some convection near it's nominal center. but there's a lot of shear over top which will probably prevent it from developing in the near term.
94L is a bit more complex, it seems to be warm core right now, at least according to phase analysis. However the low pressure still appears to be coupled to the frontal zone, which normally precludes a storm from being considered tropical. However, that is also changing and the frontal zone appears to be breaking down, which would give the system a much stronger case for being considered tropica/sub tropical.