cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed Sep 24 2008 07:08 PM
Re: Watching Disturbance off the Carolinas

Quote:

NHC stated the following...
THE LOW IS PARTLY RESPONSIBLE FOR AN AREA OF WINDS TO HURRICANE FORCE WELL TO
THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER.

So why not start advisories?




As NHC states, 94L looks to be essentially a well-developed and tightly-wound coastal "LOW" that is in the process of acquiring some tropical characteristics. The low is only "partly responsible" for the HF winds well to the north and northwest of the center. As of this morning, the area of interest was also still somewhat caught up in its parent fronts.

Recon might find enough reason to upgrade the system by 5PM, but NHC is probably doing the right thing by not pulling the trigger just yet. This type of hybrid can sometimes fizzle out just as fast as it spun up.



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