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People in Florida to even Biloxi need to start paying attention to the BOC and southern gulf over the weekend. A low presure area is developing and I have a feeling this will be a pretty strong Tropical Storm when it comes into the NE GOM. This system will have a shear zone to it, but it will be moving NE along with the shear zone, so anotherwords, it wont hamper this too much, though most of the winds and rainfall will be near the center and to its east. Right now we are looking at possible TD by Sunday and TS by Monday. Wont make a landfall forecast yet cause its too early, Ill post that in the forecast lounge. Right now I give this system a 50% chance of developing, 30% of being a TS by late Monday or Tuesday and 20% of a weak hurricane...but whats weak? |