MissBecky
(Weather Guru)
Sat Sep 27 2008 03:46 PM
Re: Trying to Organize ... 94L Almost Tropical

Quote:


There is nothing in the BOC. No Invest, nothing mentioned in the TWO...in fact, there is not a single cloud.
There are some clouds in the extreme NW Caribbean, but they are not mentioned in the TWO.




Not yet there isn't. But I agree with Scott. Several of the models, including CMC, NOGAPS, and GFS are showing something approaching south or central Florida next week.

ETA: From the Tampa NWS Forecast Discussion:

A MID LEVEL TROUGH DROPPING
SOUTHEAST INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL STEER A LOW PRESSURE AREA
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO JUST NORTH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TOWARD
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE
SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH A FOLLOWING COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH TO THE SOUTHERN
PART OF THE STATE. MODELS VARY ON TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS
BAROCLINIC SYSTEM BUT AT THE VERY LEAST THE SYSTEM WILL BRING BREEZY
CONDITIONS AND RAIN.



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