TD 17 to become a tropical storm most likely tonight. Forecast to become a hurricane. South FL just pay attention as a slight shift in the thinking and this could be a problem for the peninsula. The NHC mentions at the bottom of their discussion that models eject these types of systems too quickly out of the Caribbean at times....sounds to me like there is some speculation as to the trough and how quickly it will send the storm to the northeast. also they mentioned that the environment is very favorable for intensification the next few days so a cat 2 or major hurricane is not out of the question at these early stages. lets see what the thinking is later tonight on the new update.