MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Sun Jun 13 2010 01:40 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched

Fixed, thanks for the mention.


The wave is over some abnormally warm water, but it still lacks the convection near the "center", roughly 7.6N / 34W. The overall flow is really large. It'll probably take another day to get wrapped in enough around the center to become a real candidate for development -- but I'm not sold. One positive factor for development is it's pretty wet, no real dry air around it. The models are interesting on it, GFS is on the weak side, NOGAPs tends to be stronger. The SHIPS intensity model is a bit too much right now.

Looking at water vapor imagery, It won't have that large of a window for development (see the northwestern side of the area), which is probably the strongest reason it won't develop much if at all.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center