It looks like it will by tonight (could be the afternoon). I'd like to see better Dvorak T Numbers than what it has, it's trending toward that way, but not quite there yet. Convection is starting to organize around the center/consolidating, and the overall large size is giving way to a more concentrated area. Also lack of QUIKSCAT this year is hurting for systems like this.

With the consolidation it may adjust the center slightly more to the north. This is another reason why it's still 60%. Once there is a clear center the game is on. (Best track has it at 9.7N 39.9W)

I'm a lot harder on this system than I otherwise would be because of the calendar. That and conditions out ahead of it still will likely cut it to pieces. There are some hints on satellite imagery that shear may venture into it more (especially if it forms more north).