cieldumort
(Moderator)
Tue Jun 15 2010 08:11 PM
Re: Central Atlantic Wave Being Watched

The approximate center of 92L (roughly 13.3 N 46 W as of this entry) is currently passing to the south of
Buoy 41041 (located at 14.357 N 46.008 W). Pressures at the station 41041 have fallen at a slow rate, and maximum 1-min sustained winds have thus far reached a peak of at least 35 MPH at an elevation of 5 meters above sea level, and have generally been a range of 15-30 MPH this afternoon. A slight wind has shift occurred, shifting from mostly east to mostly ene, and now back to east, suggesting either a very small closed circulation (if one still exists), but more likely 92L is now once again an open wave, as also suggested by its appearance in visible satellite images.

The weak remains of this cyclone which will remain nameless could be of some concern late this week or next should it manage to hang in there until a potential sweet spot opens up for it - at this time the most likely location/s for improved chances of development could be the western Caribbean or GOM - next week if it survives till then - and all pure speculation at this point, but something to watch for.

Elsewhere, disturbed weather in the Bay of Campeche mostly had to do with an ULL interacting with a surface trof together dragging up some deep moisture from the tropics. Surface pressures have not been falling, and there is probably only a small chance at best for tropical cyclone development in that region over the near term.



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