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I think that CMC and NOGAPS are on to something in the central carib. firing up next week... Upper level winds looks to be more favorable for tropical development... although GFS is stil kinda quiet until a week plus down the road. NOGAPS to me has down pretty good so far this season, esp. in the east pacific... http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ngp/2010062012/slp21.png |