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I see definate BANDING, Storm Hunter, but I see absolutely ZERO indication of a circulation. It might exist, but I don't see it - yet! Having said that, this infrared loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-avn.html does show banding as well, and the visible equivalent hints at a circulation forming near 15n 68w, just a bit north of where you indicated, I think. It's not a well organized LLC by any means, but it wouldn't shock me for the airplane to find a weak LLC when it gets there (Wednesday?)
my bad... i should be more specific... i don't see a "tight circulation"... but more of a "broader center of circulation"... the afternoon sats due in my opinion show a surface area under the complex of storms as mentioned in the above posts.. near both our cords. The 18Z GFDL is picking up on system now... latest run is a little concerning... time to watch and see!
PS: Stewart bumped the 8pm TWO up to 50% chance in next 48hrs
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