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As of the 06Z model run. There are now 3 models in the Southern GOM at the 5 day point... GFDL, HWRF AND TVCN. All three cross Cuba and move into the GOM after 3 1/2 days. CLP5 crosses Cancun,MX and the three BAM models cross the lower/ mid Yucatan Peninsula. Euro is outlier with a slow track toward Belize. Latest 93L model plot here: https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_93.gif See attachment for the 0515 rgb image. Lightning beginning to show in main cloud. Just south of Dominican Republic. |