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Looking at the latest visible loop, seems like something could be get established around 16 N, 71 W. There's also deep convection firing around this "center" in the last frame. It will be interesting to see if some of this convection can wrap around the center. The lack of surface obs in the region isn't helping to establish if there is a surface circulation of any kind. I pretty much agree with what the others have said: we won't really know until reconnaissance gets out there tomorrow afternoon. Visible loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html Infrared loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html |