Agreed...based on what is starting to show up on the satellite images now, the models have almost all been initialized to far south, but going through the rest of today should start to get things ironed out, if in fact an LLC is trying to form.

That being said, because of 93L's position, I don't believe the interaction with Hispaniola will hinder the development so much, since this would require an almost due north turn. I believe the possibility of future interaction with Jamaica and/or Cuba will be a big determining factor in the possibility of future development.

All of the models are fluctuating based on their assumption that this will interact with land, either Cuba or the Yucatan, thus hindering development. So this is still a crap shoot as far as the models are concerned, they (almost) all started very strong on this, based on the system shooting the gap between Cuba and the Yucatan, and now have backed off due to their own predicted land interaction, so we will most likely just need to wait and see what direction this system takes before any valid prediction of intensity can be made.