| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Tue Jun 22 2010 09:50 PM |
Re: 93L
|
Quote:
after looking at 18Z data... a curve in the GOM is looking more likely to me... just when and where is way to far out to tell... the GFDL still is agressive with the system in GOM... 18Z GFDL is very concering... this path would be bad for the central gulf coast... including the Oil Spill area... a system coming north and on the west side of the oil spill would be devasting to the Gulf Coast....
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/gfdl/2010062218-invest93l/slp21.png
**Appears tonight that the broad area of circulation is begining to fire up storms near where i think we may have surface low form...tonight will be interesting to watch**
I agree, tonight will be interesting. The big question I'm not convinced about is whether it even develops at all. It's cycling back and forth between being on the verge of developing and on the verge of falling apart, which I guess is normal this time of year.
All of the 18z data appears to point to an Opal-like track, going very near (possibly over) the Yucatan, before hooking toward the east-central Gulf Coast. Of course, the models could change once it gets its act together, but it definately looks like a POTENTIALLY devastating situation could arise.