There seems to be a mid level cyclonic spin south of the Hatian peninsula. There seems to be a low level cyclonic tumble that is south of Jamica. All the energy is south and west of Hispanola, although some energy is gathering east of the low level spin near Jamica. My bet is on the eastern part of this developing, as the convergence of energy seems to be taking place there.
The models are taking the western point as their point of beginning. All bets are off until the spin really begins.
If that does occur back toward Haiti it wll deepen quickly. If the western point takes control that will take a little longer. We should look back iagain n about 12-14 hours (in the morning).