| Hugh |
| (Senior Storm Chaser) |
| Thu Jun 24 2010 11:23 PM |
Re: Wave in Central Caribbean Still Slowly Developing
|
It appears that the convection has continued moving WSW, while the LLC has indeed come to a near dead stop off the coast. Convection is very ragged on the edges, but it's a lot more co-located with the apparent LLC than it was 24 hours ago, to me. It still looks like there's shear blocking it from getting into the Gulf, though. The 8pm TWO may move the percentage up a bit, I'd bet.
Edit: 60%, Code Red. Language indicates that it is expected to hit the Yucatan as a TD (doesn't actually SAY that, but the implication is there)