Initial Conditions numbers for the 00Z data/model runs had a 1006mb low (think thats the lowest with 93L so far) with a direction of 265 and movement of 7kts... so i think the system if slowly organizing... 93L has changed direction and speed for a short period i think... a turn back the NW should start again in the morning.

00z June 25th 2010
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 16.0N LONCUR = 81.6W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 16.3N LONM12 = 80.3W DIRM12 = 263DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 16.2N LONM24 = 78.2W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

Latest sats still show IMO that the surface COC is still to the west of the deep convection... question is now will new convection fire? I'm not sure... i wanna say yes, but i still see shear in the general area or atleast to the NW of COC that may cause 93L from firing up in the next few hrs...