danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Fri Jun 25 2010 03:03 AM
Re: Wave in Central Caribbean May Develop Tomorrow

GFS and most of the models are having a hard time with 93L because it's not there. So to speak.
Double vortice bouncing around and fluctuating through the differents levels. Not to mention the sparse data points in the area.

The GFDL 96 hour forecast for Sundown Saturday night arrival at Panama City at 65 knots. Bare minimal Cat 1 Hurricane.

... This is a forecast position and intensity. Forecasts vary by several hundred miles at 96 hours out and will change several times over the next 5 days.



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