Ugh...that other site has alot of kids making wacky forecasts and calling clouds hurricanes when they are not even TDs yet. I would stay here on flhurricane unless peeps want a good laugh.
Anyways, right now I have (what appears to be the LLC) around 17.3 N and 82.5W. T-Storms are not concentrated enough around the COC but its alot better than yesterday. I give recon and 50-50 chance. There is a LLC and its pretty well defined. But will they find 25kt winds or more even? Also there is only popcorn T-Storms near the estimate LLC as of 11am eastern time. The models don't show a big blow up of T-Storms over it.. but with the pressure of 1006mbs and a well defined circulation, we will see what our recon tells us.