At the risk of rambling, it still just appears that x92(93L) has a bit too much of an elongated/troffy nature to it, with perhaps now (once again) more than one competing fledgling surface/very near surface circulation. And so a big question in my mind remains as to whether the southern half doesn't just run into too much land before sufficient organization really takes hold today, leaving the northern half to perhaps reemerge as the best candidate for tropical cyclone development - either later today, or over this weekend/early next week, and before it, too, runs into land - most likely Belize and/or the Yucatan... if not also a zone of moderate shear that has set up some over the extreme northwestern Caribbean & southern GOM.

On the whole - Surface circulation: Appears to be elongated today. Convection: Much improved over the past 48 hours. Pressures: Somewhat lower than the past 48 hours. Upper-level winds: More conducive for still more development than over the past 48 hours, and continuing favorable for at least the next few days. Land interactions: Imminent.