danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sun Jun 27 2010 12:48 PM
Re: Alex Continues Toward The WNW

If the GFS is correct with the timing. The intensity won't make a whole lot of difference at this point.
3 days of steady rain will allow winds above 40 mph to lay down trees. Lots of trees.
Once the wind speeds increase ... many more trees will fall and creeks will rise.
Tropical Depression or not.

Not quite the Allison scenario but warming up toward it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_Storm_Allison

IF the GFS does verify.

Long ways off from the latest run. 36 hours before the forecast rainfall begins and 5 days before it hits the proverbial fan.



Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center