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there did appear to be a spilt.. a mid to upper part of the COC west a little went and the surface COC went NW... very close to the coast.. based on the last few images, i say Alex is entering the GOM now... and convection close to the NW side of the COC is firing up in a feeder band. http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products...01006252203.GIF attached i did a little drawing... (threw my eyes... not official) Red - low level COC Orange - mid to upper level light blue - new convection... points to center |