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there did appear to be a spilt.. a mid to upper part of the COC west a little west and the surface COC went NW... very close to the coast.. based on the last few images, i say Alex is entering the GOM now... and convection close to the NW side of the COC is firing up in a feeder band.
and the outflow from Alex is tremendous.... stretching all the way to just offshore of here (Florida Panhandle). I suspect that by the 11pm advisory, Alex will have easily regained tropical storm intensity, although the winds at the LLC may take some time to ramp up. The recon reports earlier indicated tropical storm force winds at flight level in the outer bands well away from the storm.
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