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I think that this is a good time to remind everyone to be mindful of someone else's opinion. At 23Z I place the center at 19.0N 91.3W, or right on the coast - which means that an hour ago it was still over land - but that is just my opinion based on high res satellite. Cheers, ED
Very true, Ed. The basis for my opinion is the rather impressive blowup of convection near the LLC in the 2245z AVN image, compared to the 2215z image. That indicates to me that the LLC moved offshore sometime in that 30 minute interval - so it looks like my previous opinion was a bit off. Having said that, the big blowup of convection is evidence to me that the LLC is at least partially now over the Bay of Campeche, as of 2245.
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