1pm shows no movement from the 10am. Exact same set of coordinates and my eye seems to agree in looking at the satellite loops. 5mph movement is just their 12 hour average again. It seems to me that if the system stays slower with its forward movement there is more of a chance of the system getting further north. The ridge that is supposed to build in on Tuesday to turn the system back to the west, moves out almost as quickly as it arrives. This is turning into a "timing" game for South Texas.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055

The buoy 42055 linked above is fairly close to the center of alex, a little due west of it. The pressure has started dropping some and the wind speed has increased from about 10 knots at 10 am this morning to 24.7 knots at 1:40 pm.