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The NHC discussion mentions that, even though Alex's movement has been to the north for the past several hours, the forecast track still shows a gradual bend to the west due to a mid-level ridge building from the north. When does this storm cross the threshhold into creating its own environment? Is 600 miles in every direction from its center not enough? Also, why does the GFDL not bring this storm to hurricane strength at any point despite the abated sheer above and warm, warm water below? |