There is an excellent possibility you would have been right had it remain over water another 24 hours. In this case Alex ran out water and time. Despite being over land it continues to have a good eye on satellite; however there are some tall mountains in Alex's path and will likely be shredded apart in less than 48 hours. There is some discussion about Alex's moisture in time being pulled into the Central US but with a stout ridge in place over that area; doubtful unless it progresses east which some model do hint at with a deepening offshore long wave trough which continues in the Eastern GOM. There is some support for a low developing in the Eastern Gulf in a couple of days as a surface front is expected to reach the GOM in the next 24 hours. I live in Alabama and the front has past my location - Opelika and Montgomery however I'll comment more on that tomorrow and not from this thread.