JMII
(Weather Master)
Thu Jul 01 2010 12:07 PM
Re: Alex... Last page.

Quote:

The pressure was more typical of a hurricane one Saffir-Simpson category stronger than what the surface winds suggested.




This just goes to show that you have to look at ALL the data. Just looking at the pressure and saying "this is a Cat 2 storm" is misleading.

Personally ever since Andrew it seems the NHC adds about 20% to the wind speed & wind field in an effort to play things on the safe side with extra warnings. In fact the winds are nearly always listed as "estimated" to reflect this. Then after all the data is collected you'll notice the storm was weaker then predicted due to this safety factor (plus the margin of error). For example southern TX was under a hurricane warning yet they never saw winds even close to 75 mph.



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