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Was referring to the Northeastern Gulf area (the 10% area). The shear is quite noticeable on the water vapor imagery.
Looking at the last few Visible frames, there are a couple of westward moving vortices in this area. While the most predominant one appears to be over land, it is about to emerge over the warm, oil slick waters south of Panama City. While the WV shows no moisture, local radar does show some, so the air is not exactly or completely dry.
Since it's so close to my backyard, my eyes are fixed on the area south of PC for the next few hours as the atmosphere warms and the front shifts back and forth, though the shear may still keep that non-tropical low reduced to a ghost.
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