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I've been looking at the Wind Shear analysis this evening...there's one remote shot that 95L might have to be taken seriously. There is an area of wind shear less than 10 knots that begins over South FL and extends southward through Cuba into the extreme western Caribbean and has been migrating northward. Winds over 95L are currently between 15 and 20 knots from the north. Now the bad news...wind shear rises dramatically from east to west becoming 30 knots near Mobile Bay, 40 knots over the MS River delta and LA and 50 knots near Houston, all from the north. I don't want everybody to get alarmed if recon runs a mission into the area for research. I grant you it's a pretty looking image on satellite and it will tests some nerves. I still believe the ECMWF is handling this system and that is a weak non-tropical low moving southwest and west in response to the upper ridge to it's north. |