WesnWylie
(Weather Guru)
Tue Jul 06 2010 09:35 AM
Re: Low in Gulf Approaching Louisiana

96L seems to have a nice blow-up of convection this morning.
It will be interesting to see if it can sustain this convection
over land, or if it will fizzle before moving into the Gulf of Mexico.
I think it will probably move into the gulf later this afternoon or evening
(20z or so). 96L should move into a more favorable area for
development tonight and tomorrow. By more favorable, I mean
less shear. With that being said, I think this system has a 50/50
chance of developing in the next 24 hours.