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96L seems to have a nice blow-up of convection this morning. It will be interesting to see if it can sustain this convection over land, or if it will fizzle before moving into the Gulf of Mexico. I think it will probably move into the gulf later this afternoon or evening (20z or so). 96L should move into a more favorable area for development tonight and tomorrow. By more favorable, I mean less shear. With that being said, I think this system has a 50/50 chance of developing in the next 24 hours. |